高校知识溢出与企业创新绩效

本文利用全样本数据探讨了作为创新和知识溢出微观主体的高校对企业创新绩效的影响。本文通过ArcGIS测算了2007-2015年上市公司所在地周边全部高校数量，并以企业研发投入金额、发明专利衡量企业创新水平，利用Anselin et al（2000）的KPF方程，采用双聚类OLS检验高校知识溢出对企业创新行为的影响效应与机制。研究发现：第一，高校知识溢出对企业研发创新投入和有效创新产出均具有显著促进作用；第二，知识溢出效应具有显著的地理邻近性特征，而行政边界关联影响较弱；第三，高校知识溢出通过提高企业研发投入，提升员工和管理层人力资本，进而影响企业创新绩效。进一步研究表明，空间异质性、高校异质性、企业异质性、中心城市集聚效应、高铁开通等因素导致高校知识溢出效应存在差异。     

市场竞争不完全与企业内部工资差距*——基于产品与劳动力市场融合视角的分析

理解工资差距的形成机制是在新时期破解发展不平衡不充分问题，进而实现共享发展的关键。本文从产品与劳动力市场竞争不完全相融合的视角，扩展了中国企业内部技能员工与非技能员工工资差距形成机制的研究，兼论消除竞争不完全的效率提高。基于中国企业数据并在统一的框架下构建市场竞争不完全的测算指标，本文发现：中国的市场化改革并不必然带来收入差距的扩大，不完全的市场化改革形成的产品与劳动力市场竞争不完全才是引发企业内部收入差距的重要原因。当存在市场竞争不完全时，企业会将产品市场势力扩展到劳动力市场，形成劳动力市场竞争不完全对工资差距的更大影响。这意味着单一的市场化改革不能有效缓解收入差距，只有产品与劳动力市场的同步改革才能达到最优的政策效果。中国的市场化改革可以在初次分配中通过发挥市场机制兼顾效率与公平。     

Target price forecasts: The roles of the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment

This paper reveals that in addition to fundamental factors, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment play an important role in analysts’ target price formation. Analysts’ forecasts of short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth are shown to be important explanatory variables for target prices; equally, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment are also shown to explain target price levels and especially target price biases. Our analysis additionally reveals that analysts place greater weight on these two non-fundamental factors in settings with greater task complexity and to some extent in those with greater resource constraints. Conversely, on balance, the results suggest that this increased reliance does not translate into an increased impact per unit of each non-fundamental factor on forecast bias. Finally, our results show that target prices are useful in predicting future stock returns beyond earnings forecasts and commonly used risk proxies. However, in an internally consistent fashion, the informativeness of target prices for future returns is significantly reduced when greater weight is placed on either the 52-week high or recent investor sentiment in the target price formation process.     

基于经济阈值效应的地方政府举债压力弹性研究

地区所处经济阶段差异会使地方政府行为激励产生异质性,进而影响地区举债压力弹性。从经济阈值效应的独特视角,探究不同经济门槛区间压力波动引起的地方政府举债行为变化,利用举债压力弹性解释地方政府债务规模扩张成因。基于我国283个地级市数据,构建门槛面板模型对理论假设进行经验检验。研究发现:从低到高的经济阈值区间下地方政府举债压力弹性翻倍增长,尤其是在第三经济阈值区间,举债规模扩张呈现加速度特征;财政压力对地方政府举债的刺激作用,只有在第三经济阈值区间才会得以释放;“土地财政”的存在强化了地方政府举债对压力变化的敏感度,并助推了地方政府举债压力的弹性波动。经济处于发达阶段的地方政府的举债压力敏感度,显著高于处于欠发达阶段的地方政府,因此,高水平的城市举债压力弹性及其潜在的债务风险应成为下一步关注的焦点。     

Does high‐speed rail connection really promote local economy? Evidence from China’s Yangtze River Delta

High‐speed rail (HSR) has led to a transportation revolution in China. This paper uses the county‐level panel data of China’s Yangtze River Delta to investigate the effect of HSR connection on local economy. To address the issue of endogenous HSR route placement, we use a straight‐line strategy to construct potential HSR connection variables as instrumental variables of the actual HSR connection. Both the difference‐in‐differences and instrumental variable methods show that HSR connection impedes local economy, especially in peripheral regions. The impediment effect is channeled through population reallocation from peripheral to core areas and the restructuring of industries.     

Perioperative inhaled corticosteroids treatment is associated with decreased length-of-stay and direct medical costs in high-respiratory-risk surgeries

Abstract

Aims: To examine the impact of perioperative inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) on length-of-stay (LOS) and costs among patients receiving high-respiratory-risk surgeries.

Methods: Adult patients who underwent high-respiratory-risk surgeries in 2015 were identified in the Tianjin Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance database. Patients were grouped into ICS or non-ICS cohorts according to whether they received ICS during the perioperative period of the index hospitalization. Propensity Score Matching was performed to create matched pairs between two cohorts. The impact of perioperative ICS on LOS and direct medical costs was estimated by negative binomial model and generalized liner model.

Results: Eight hundred and twenty-one hospital stays with high-respiratory-risk were selected in the ICS cohort and another 821 stays in the non-ICS cohort were matched. The mean LOS was 13.0 (±0.3) days in the ICS cohort, which was significantly lower than the matched non-ICS cohort. Patients with thorax and ear-nose-throat surgeries had a significant decrease in LOS in the ICS cohort compared to the non-ICS cohort, with a mean decrease of 5.5 and 1.1?days, respectively. In adjusted analyses, perioperative ICS treatment was associated with shorter LOS, lower total, and respiratory-related costs (reductions of 10.1%, 7%, and 5.3%, respectively) after controlling for demographic, clinical, and hospital characteristics.

Limitations: Some respiratory risk factors such as living behavior and environment were unable to be captured and respiratory-related costs might be underestimated, limited by claim data. Lastly, caution should be taken when generalizing the results to other populations, as only patients with moderate-to-severe surgeries on the thorax and above were selected in this study.

Conclusions: Perioperative ICS treatment was associated with decreased LOS and lower costs for patients undergoing high-respiratory-risk surgeries in China.     

高绩效工作系统能否抑制员工沉默?

在自我决定理论的基础上探讨高绩效工作系统对不同动机员工沉默行为的影响机制及差异性。研究结果表明：（1）高绩效工作系统对员工默许沉默、防御沉默和漠视沉默行为具有显著的抑制作用；（2）高绩效工作系统能通过自主需求满意度、能力需求满意度和关系需求满意度的提升降低员工的默许沉默行为；（3）高绩效工作系统能通过关系需求满意度的提升降低员工的防御沉默行为；（4）高绩效工作系统通过自主需求满意度、能力需求满意度和关系需求满意度的提升降低员工的漠视沉默行为。     

人力资源管理与组织绩效关系的实践——国外四大理论的阐释

通过对国际经典文献的梳理和分析，从如何建立对人的管理与组织绩效间的有效联系入手，分别从起源、代表性、重大贡献和主要局限性等角度对研究人力资源管理与组织绩效关系的主要实践方法——最佳实践法、权变法、结构形态法和资源论展开讨论，发现近三十年来，人力资源管理实践方法的研究几乎都围绕着上述这些主流理论展开，推动了上述理论的形成与发展，形成了不同但具有包容性的学说体系。     

川渝黔一体化发展的战略目标和基本内容

作为长江上游的核心区域，川渝黔一体化发展的本质就是长江上游区域的一体化发展。战略目标有两个方面：在成渝城市群基础上形成世界级城市群、形成世界级主导产业和企业集团。其战略意义有五个方面：极大缓解我国不平衡不充分发展与人民追求美好生活愿望之间的矛盾、率先促进长江上游区域一体化发展、有助于加快实现“一带一路”和长江经济带等发展目标、有利于保护水资源和建成上游生态屏障、使我国有一个长远和稳固的战略后方基地。一体化发展的基本内容包含五个方面：交通通信设施一体化、产业发展一体化、监管和生产要素一体化、生态环境一体化、人口流动时身份规定一体化。     

The untold story of commodity futures in China

We investigate the behavior of commodity futures risk premia in China. In the presence of retail-dominance and barriers-to-entry, the term structure and momentum premia remain persistent, whereas hedging pressure, skewness, volatility, and liquidity premia are distorted by time-varying margins and strict position limits. Furthermore, open interest, currency, and inflation premia are sensitive to institutional settings. The observed premia cannot be attributed to common risks, sentiment, transactions costs, or data-snooping, but are related to liquidity, anchoring, and regulation-induced limits-to-arbitrage. We highlight the distinctive features of Chinese futures markets and assess the challenges posed to theories of commodity risk premia.